Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1.922551 2.199915 2.504803 2.865073 3.279517 3.741775 4.297074
2025-07-06 1.449907 1.810728 2.244508 2.805576 3.513872 4.380708 5.525785
2025-07-13 1.281163 1.698917 2.233044 2.968521 3.959058 5.252690 7.079940
2025-07-20 1.110437 1.545460 2.130025 2.976891 4.179197 5.835137 8.306645
2025-07-27 1.008587 1.463890 2.102748 3.070250 4.508790 6.584950 9.838233
2025-08-03 0.901551 1.357821 2.022936 3.070548 4.693458 7.135347 11.132020
2025-08-10 0.808655 1.259326 1.939378 3.049433 4.834600 7.624845 12.377734
2025-08-17 0.723744 1.162083 1.844786 2.996290 4.912966 8.015875 13.500453
2025-08-24 0.673301 1.112940 1.818579 3.046544 5.158857 8.695548 15.173033
2025-08-31 0.629156 1.068725 1.794496 3.095259 5.403461 9.393337 16.951783
2025-09-07 0.578020 1.007043 1.734274 3.073931 5.521174 9.879504 18.401749
2025-09-14 0.526947 0.940120 1.657984 3.014985 5.562693 10.229627 19.633325
2025-09-21 0.480144 0.880219 1.595267 2.987645 5.685429 10.790566 21.440572
2025-09-28 0.432733 0.814968 1.517582 2.926739 5.744174 11.251829 23.148459
2025-10-05 0.420628 0.814158 1.558490 3.096955 6.273315 12.692837 27.064061
2025-10-12 0.390368 0.774661 1.520696 3.105705 6.475850 13.498409 29.745965
2025-10-19 0.372959 0.758531 1.526538 3.203270 6.873950 14.758605 33.609226
2025-10-26 0.347310 0.722702 1.488543 3.203582 7.061931 15.588942 36.613643
2025-11-02 0.322167 0.685175 1.442884 3.181515 7.196641 16.316244 39.480290
2025-11-09 0.296629 0.644087 1.385291 3.125978 7.247586 16.857362 41.972310
2025-11-16 0.282364 0.626135 1.375839 3.178496 7.556834 18.041434 46.253115
2025-11-23 0.269089 0.608981 1.366273 3.229407 7.868188 19.269715 50.835983
2025-11-30 0.251627 0.580449 1.327959 3.207116 7.996333 20.060713 54.375474